OAD Intelligence Platform
Executive Africa Snapshot
Real-time African economic intelligence · May 2026 · Q2 FY
SSA GDP Growth (2025)
4.1%
▲ from 3.6% in 2024 — IMF
FDI Inflows (2024)
$97B
▲ +75% YoY — UNCTAD
AfCFTA Ratifications
48/55
→ 87% of AU members
SSA Inflation (median)
4.5%
▼ from 6.0% — IMF 2025
African Trade (2023)
$1.4T
▲ Afreximbank ATR
Infra Financing Gap
$108B
→ per year — AfDB
📈 Africa FDI Inflows & SSA GDP Growth — UNCTAD & IMF (2019–2025)
FDI: UNCTAD World Investment Report 2025 (annex tables). GDP: IMF SSA REO Oct 2025.
🔥 Geopolitical & Macro Risk — sourced indices
CountryRisk Factor (source)Level
🇸🇩 SudanActive armed conflict — UN OCHA, ACLED 2024Critical
🇪🇹 EthiopiaTigray/Amhara tensions — ICG 2024High
🇨🇩 DR CongoEastern DRC / M23 — UN OHCHR 2024High
🇳🇬 NigeriaFX devaluation −70% vs USD 2023–24 — CBNMedium
🇰🇪 KenyaDebt-to-GDP 70.6% — IMF Art. IV 2024Medium
🇲🇦 MoroccoInvestment-grade BB+ — S&P 2024Low
Top Emerging Investment Markets
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🇸🇳
Senegal
+8.4% GDP (2025e)
Source: IMF
🇷🇼
Rwanda
+7.1% GDP (2025e)
Source: IMF
🇪🇹
Ethiopia
+6.6% GDP (2025e)
Source: IMF
🇨🇮
Côte d'Ivoire
+6.5% GDP (2025e)
Source: IMF
🇧🇯
Benin
+6.5% GDP (2025e)
Source: IMF
🇰🇪
Kenya
+4.8% GDP (2025e)
Source: IMF
⚡ Electricity Access — World Bank (2022)
North Africa100%
Southern Africa78%
West Africa53%
East Africa48%
Sub-Saharan Africa51%
Source: World Bank WDI — % of population with access to electricity (2022)
🌐 AfCFTA Status — AU / tralac (2024)
Signed (of 55 AU members)54/55
Ratified (deposited)48/55
Tariff offers submitted49/54
Trading under Guided Trade Initiative39 states
Intra-African trade share of total~15%
Sources: AU AfCFTA Secretariat, tralac (Feb 2024), Afreximbank ATR 2024
Data sources
IMF Regional Economic Outlook — Sub-Saharan Africa (Oct 2025) · IMF World Economic Outlook (Oct 2025) · UNCTAD World Investment Report 2025 · AfDB African Economic Outlook 2025 · World Bank — Africa's Pulse (Apr 2025) & WDI · Afreximbank African Trade Report 2024 · AU AfCFTA Secretariat / tralac trade law centre.
IIAG #1 (Governance)
Mauritius
73.0 / 100 — IIAG 2024
Africa Avg Governance
49.3
→ +1.0 since 2014 — IIAG
Most Improved (10y)
Seychelles
▲ +7.8 pts — IIAG 2024
Most Deteriorated
Sudan
▼ −12.3 pts — IIAG 2024
Governance Sub-Indices — IIAG 2024 (top 3 markets)
Source: Mo Ibrahim Foundation, Ibrahim Index of African Governance 2024.
Mauritius — IIAG 2024 sub-pillar scores
73.0 /100 · IIAG 2024 Rank #1 in Africa
Security & Rule of Law
78.4 — IIAG
Participation, Rights, Inclusion
79.1 — IIAG
Foundations for Econ Opportunity
71.2 — IIAG
Human Development
73.4 — IIAG
HDI 2024
0.802 — UNDP
B-READY pilot
73.6 — World Bank 2024
Country Rankings — Mo Ibrahim IIAG 2024 (overall governance score)
Source: Mo Ibrahim Foundation, Oct 2024
#CountryRegionIIAG 2024SecurityRightsEcon OppHuman Dev10-yr Trend
1🇲🇺 MauritiusEARIO73.078.479.171.273.4▼ −2.6
2🇸🇨 SeychellesEARIO71.676.174.569.871.0▲ +7.8
3🇨🇻 Cabo VerdeWARIO71.174.076.265.868.5▲ +1.9
4🇧🇼 BotswanaSARIO67.774.671.059.865.4▼ −1.5
5🇿🇦 South AfricaSARIO65.356.274.762.667.6▼ −2.3
6🇹🇳 TunisiaNARIO65.469.861.462.767.7▼ −2.0
7🇳🇦 NamibiaSARIO65.172.472.156.859.0▲ +1.4
8🇬🇭 GhanaWARIO62.569.071.254.655.1▼ −2.6
9🇷🇼 RwandaEARIO60.071.743.062.862.4▲ +6.5
10🇸🇳 SenegalWARIO58.461.661.853.157.0▼ −1.5
All scores 0–100. Source: Mo Ibrahim Foundation, Ibrahim Index of African Governance 2024 (released 16 Oct 2024). Trend = change vs 2014 baseline.
🌿 WARIO — West Africa
🏔️ EARIO — East Africa
🏜️ NARIO — North Africa
💎 SARIO — Southern Africa
ECOWAS GDP (2024)
$806B
15-state bloc — IMF WEO
Regional FDI (2024)
$12B
UNCTAD WIR 2025
Median Inflation
21.4%
Nigeria-driven — IMF
Population
438M
UN WPP 2024
Mobile Money Acc.
198M
West Africa — GSMA 2024
Under-25 share
62%
UN WPP 2024
WARIO — West Africa Country Profiles
Merchandise Trade — Top WARIO Economies ($B, 2023, WTO)
Source: WTO Trade Profiles 2024 (merchandise exports/imports, 2023).
Flagship Infrastructure Projects (verified)
🛤️ Lagos–Abidjan Highway 1,028 km, $15.6B — AfDB 2023Under Dev
⚡ WAPP — West Africa Power Pool (operational, ECOWAS)Active
🌊 Lekki Deep Sea Port (NG, opened Jan 2023 — NPA)Operational
🛣️ Dakar–Bamako Rail rehab, $1.5B — AFD/EU 2023Rehab
⚡ Mambilla Hydro 3,050 MW (NG, $5.8B — FMP 2023)Construction
Africa Sector Opportunity Scanner
OAD Proprietary Analysis
🌾
Agriculture & Agro-processing
Africa holds ~65% of the world's remaining uncultivated arable land (AGRA/McKinsey 2023). African food market projected at $1T by 2030 (World Bank 2023).
2030 market — World Bank$1T
☀️
Renewable Energy
~10 TW solar technical potential — 60% of world's best solar resources (IRENA 2024). Installed RE capacity: 62 GW in 2023 (IRENA RCS 2024).
2030 capacity target300 GW — IRENA
⛏️
Critical Minerals & Mining
DRC produced 74% of global mined cobalt in 2023 (USGS MCS 2024). South Africa holds ~91% of world PGM reserves; Zimbabwe is now the 6th-largest lithium producer.
Cobalt market 2030 — BNEF$30B+
💻
Technology & Fintech
615M unique mobile subscribers in SSA, 50% penetration (GSMA Mobile Economy SSA 2024). African startups raised $2.2B equity in 2024 (Partech Africa Tech VC Report).
Fintech share of VC 2024~50% — Partech
🏭
Manufacturing
Manufacturing value-added averages 11% of African GDP (UNCTAD 2024). AfDB Africa Industrialization Index 2022: SA, Morocco, Egypt, Tunisia & Mauritius top 5.
AfCFTA mfg uplift by 2035+$56B — World Bank
💊
Healthcare & Pharma
African pharma market projected at $66B by 2030 (McKinsey 2023). AU PMPA targets 60% local production by 2040 (AUDA-NEPAD).
2030 market — McKinsey$66B
Greenfield FDI by Sector — Africa 2023 (UNCTAD/fDi Markets)
Source: UNCTAD World Investment Report 2024, greenfield project announcements (fDi Markets data).
Published Africa Sector Growth Rates
☀️ Africa renewables capacity 2018–23+11% CAGR — IRENA
💻 Africa fintech revenues to 2028+32% CAGR — McKinsey 2023
⛏️ Battery-metal demand to 2030+18% CAGR — IEA CMO 2024
💊 Africa pharma 2023–30+8.5% CAGR — McKinsey
🌾 Africa food market to 2030+7% CAGR — World Bank
🏭 AfCFTA full implementation+$450B GDP by 2035 — WB
Top African Port
8.6M
TEU 2023 — Tanger Med (Lloyd's)
SSA LPI Score
2.45
/5 — World Bank LPI 2023
Tanger Med — CPPI
#4 global
WB CPPI 2023
African Air Cargo (2023)
1.0Mt
▲ +6.5% YoY — IATA
Container Spot Rates
+121%
vs 2019 — Drewry WCI
SSA Border Compliance
97h
to export — WB DB 2020
🚢 Top African Container Ports — TEU 2023 (millions)
Source: Lloyd's List One Hundred Ports 2024; World Bank Container Port Performance Index 2023.
🛤️ Major Corridor Transit Times (sourced)
🇰🇪→🇷🇼 Northern Corridor (Mombasa–Kigali)~5 days — NCTTCA 2023
🇹🇿→🇿🇲 Central Corridor (Dar–Kapiri)~6 days — CCTTFA 2023
🇨🇮→🇧🇫 Abidjan–Ouagadougou~4 days — Borderless Alliance
🇿🇦 Durban → Joburg dwell4.5 days — WB CPPI 2023
🇩🇯→🇪🇹 Djibouti–Addis (rail)~12h transit — ERC 2023
🇲🇦 Tanger Med dwell time0.7 days — WB CPPI 2023
SEZs in Africa
237
across 38 countries — UNCTAD WIR 2019
AfCFTA Tariff Cut
90%
of tariff lines, 5–13y — AU
Sovereign Green Bonds
9
African issuers — AfDB 2024
EU CBAM
Jan 2026
full enforcement — EU 2023/956
📋 Verified Recent Policy Developments
CountryPolicy / SourceImpactDate
🇲🇦 Morocco"Offre Maroc" green H₂ framework — MEM, Mar 2024PositiveMar 2024
🇳🇬 NigeriaNaira float & FX unification — CBN, Jun 2023MixedJun 2023
🇰🇪 KenyaFinance Act 2023; Affordable Housing Act 2024Mixed2023–24
🇿🇦 South AfricaElectricity Regulation Amendment Act signed — Aug 2024PositiveAug 2024
🇪🇬 Egypt$35B Ras El-Hekma deal w/ ADQ — Feb 2024PositiveFeb 2024
🌐 AfCFTA Implementation Milestones
State Parties (ratified)48 / 55
Tariff lines to be liberalized90%
GTI countries shipping under preferences8
Services schedules submitted46
PAPSS — central banks live15
Sources: AfCFTA Secretariat & tralac AfCFTA Tracker 2024; Afreximbank PAPSS 2024.
Shaka — OAD AI Intelligence Engine
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Policy
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